The latest Seahawks vs. Cowboys odds show Dallas set as 9-point favorites on the spread, but it’s -8.5 at FanDuel and DraftKings. NFL Week 13 gets underway at Jerry World. In light of the general consensus over/under of 47.5, my NFL pick is aiming for that total for this match.
Dallas has won three games in a row in a blowout, while the Seahawks (6-5) and Cowboys (8-3) are heading in opposite directions. Though the Seahawks are in a risky situation, both teams are in playoff positions going into Week 13. They’re going to play the 49ers (again!) and Eagles back-to-back, and they’re almost double-digit underdogs.
Will the Cowboys and Dak Prescott continue to win, or will the Seahawks turn things around? See for yourself in my preview of Thursday Night Football, which also features my Seahawks vs. Cowboys pick.
- Cowboys vs. Seahawks odds
- Prime Video Thursday, Nov. 30 at 8:15 p.m. ET
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
| +9-110 | 47.5-110o / -110u | +350 |
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
| -9-110 | 47.5-110o / -110u | -450 |
Cowboys vs. Seahawks matchup analysis
When the Ball Is in Seattle
The Seahawks are now 3–2 after a strong start.
With the fifth-easiest schedule going into Week 11, I increased my bet on the Seahawks to win fewer than 9.5 games — I wager on them to win fewer than 9.5 in my preseason Win Total guide. They play the Cowboys on TNF to continue their fourth-toughest remaining schedule.
It’s simple to hold Geno Smith accountable for Seattle’s recent failures, but I believe the offensive line bears a large portion of the responsibility. Last week against the 49ers, that unit allowed Smith to get pressed on 47% of his dropbacks. Especially horrifying was the right side of the line, when Stone Forsythe and Phil Haynes each gave up at least three pressures. Last week, Seattle also gave 41-year-old right tackle Jason Peters a tryout; on just 12 pass blocks, he gave up three pressures.
Due to Haynes’s injury (toe), Anthony Bradford, a fourth-round rookie, is expected to start on Sunday Night Football. Micah Parsons and the Cowboys front seven should continue to exploit the right side of Seattle’s line, which will continue to be a problem.
When the ball is in Dallas
At AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys offense, which is now playing at an extremely high level, has been an absolute juggernaut, scoring at least 38 points in four straight home games.
Although the Seahawks defense is only ranked 22nd in DVOA, it is far superior on paper. The Seahawks’ below-average ranking is partially due to their season-opening poor start, which was caused by the secondary’s multiple injuries.
Security Finally returned to full health, cornerback Devon Witherspoon is already among the best in the NFL as a rookie, while cornerback Riq Woolen has battled but has proven he can be among the greatest at his position. Boye Mafe, an edge rusher, had a breakthrough year in Year 2, and the run defense has improved with Bobby Wagner back. To strengthen its D-line, Seattle also just added veteran Leonard Williams.
It appears that the Cowboys offense can be slowed down and possibly kept under 30 points by Seattle’s defense team. Whatever the defense throws at him, Dak Prescott has performed well; yet, he is not quite “as good” versus zone coverage as he is against man coverage. Notable because Seattle has the second-highest rate of zone play.
| Stat | vs. Man | vs. Zone |
|---|---|---|
| ANY/A | 3rd | 8th |
| Success Rate | 2nd | 14th |
| EPA Per Play | 3rd | 3rd |
| QB Rating | 2nd | 4th |
Dallas has an NFL-high -5.7 Luck Total rating (averaging nearly six points more per game than one would anticipate) maybe due in part to DaRon Bland’s five pick-sixes this season. Although Bland has performed admirably this season and appears to have a propensity for defensive touchdowns, the Cowboys won’t be able to rely on the pick-six in the long run.
Cowboys vs. Seahawks betting predictions and picks
With Haynes down, it anticipate Seattle’s right-side offensive line problems to persist. The Cowboys D-line should put Smith under a lot of pressure, which will make it difficult to move the ball and score points.
Still, it feels like the Seahawks defense is finally healthy and underappreciated, at least on paper. It’s time to lock it in because the total has been bet up past the crucial 47 to 47.5. Recall that this season’s primetime game unders are 29-9 (76%).
